By Hugh Bronstein
BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) – Argentina will keep pushing for talks with creditors even as its $65 billion debt restructuring proposal looked likely to fall short of the support needed from international bondholders to unlock a comprehensive deal ahead of a Friday deadline.
Economy Minister Martin Guzman told Reuters on Friday that Argentina “remains open to dialogue” and that it would reassess its position after the deadline closed at 6 p.m. (2100 GMT) in Buenos Aires.
Argentina faces a race to restructure what it says is an “unsustainable” debt pile and avoid slipping into a ninth sovereign default that would revive memories of an acrimonious decade-long standoff with creditors after a default in 2001-02.
“We will assess the situation after the offer expires today and we will continue working to achieve the goal of restoring debt sustainability to put the county back on its feet,” Guzman said in messages sent to Reuters.
If creditors have ideas that suit them better while respecting the constraints that Argentina faces, then “we are ready to listen”, Guzman added.
“Any combination of interest or principal reduction, grace period, and extension of maturities that is aligned with the debt sustainability analyses of Argentina’s government and the IMF will be considered.”
Major bondholder groups have balked at Argentina’s proposal to impose big cuts in coupon payments, a three-year payment hiatus and push back maturities into the next decade. The offer was unveiled in the middle of last month.
“There clearly needs to be some upfront cash flow relief but this doesn’t necessarily rationalize three years of no payments,” Siobhan Morden, head of Latin America fixed income strategy at Amherst Pierpont Securities said in a note.
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The bond revamp is part of a broad restructuring with creditors, including major backer the International Monetary Fund and the Paris Club of country-to-country lenders.
The government says its ability to pay creditors is extremely limited as Argentina was already in recession before going on lockdown against the coronavirus pandemic on March 20. Since then the economy has shriveled.
“The market is pessimistic about the chances of a deal being reached today,” said Gabriel Zelpo, director of Buenos Aires economic consultancy Seido.
On both sides of the talks, officials and creditors indicated there was unlikely to be a quick resolution, but there was hope a deal could be struck given more time.
Oxford Economics said that the current offer was likely to be rejected, raising the risk of non-payment. “Yet, we expect negotiations to continue and a disorderly default to be avoided as the government remains open to counterproposals,” it said.
Argentine country risk as measured by JP Morgan’s Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus <11EMJ> was virtually unchanged when the market opened on Friday at 3,318 basis points over safe-haven U.S. Treasury bonds.
“Overall, it is unclear to us if an understanding will be reached,” Citi said in a note to clients.
“The final outcome remains very uncertain to us.”
(Reporting by Hugh Bronstein, additional reporting by Rodrigo Campos in New York; Editing by Steve Orlofsky and Grant McCool)
