The National Weather Service apparently has a busy week ahead as they navigate the effects of several weather systems affecting the Sheboygan County area along with most of Wisconsin. Most of us are likely to receive several rounds of potentially heavy rainfall that could lead to localized flooding and river rises through mid week. More attention is being paid to the possible severe weather that could accompany storms Monday evening through Wednesday.
NWS Graphic
Activity will be focused in the vicinity of a warm front draped roughly from Sheboygan to LaCrosse Counties on Monday, creating the greatest potential for severe weather locally between 6 PM Monday and 2 AM Tuesday. While most of Monday will be dry with temperatures reaching the 70s away from Lake Michigan, the sunshine will load the atmosphere with energy that breaks out in storms capable of producing quarter-size and larger hail, straight line winds greater than 60 MPH, and even a few tornadoes. The greatest risk of damaging hail will be in counties north of the warm front, while all hazards exist from here southward, and shifts in the front’s position will shift those hazards accordingly.
NWS Graphic
On Tuesday and Wednesday the front moves southward and stalls, with the peak risk of severe weather in the afternoon and evening hours of both days accompanied by similar hazards of large hail and damaging winds as the main concern, tornadoes to a lesser degree.
River and stream levels will be closely watched through at least Wednesday as runoff from storms could easily put some areas into flood hazards. Currently the Sheboygan River gauge at Esslingen Park is about a foot-and-a-half below the 6-foot “Action” stage where lowland urban areas near the river and docks along the Sheboygan River and Marina could see inundation. Although that’s not predicted, it is being watched carefully, and other vulnerable areas throughout southern Wisconsin are also on guard.
NWS Graphic
While the current setup brings that severe weather risk, it also introduces May-like air that should give even lakeside communities the chance to enjoy some 60s each day, while most inland areas should enjoy the 70s much of this week.
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