HSBC cuts year-end 10-year UK gilt yield forecast to 0%

LONDON (Reuters) – HSBC said on Tuesday that it had lowered its year-end forecast on 10-year British government bond yields to 0%, given a small probability of negative interest rates and a sense that rates will stay low for a long period.

Britain’s 10-year gilt yield is trading at around 0.32% .

“We cut our year-end 10-year yield forecast to 0% from 20 bps previously,” HSBC analysts said in a note.

“Our low yield bias captures the greater weight we place on the likelihood that Bank Rate stays low for a prolonged period, as well as the increased possibility of negative rates.”

(Reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe, Editing by Lawrence White)