A nice compendium from the RNC indicating where the current momentum in the presidential race is, rather with who.
President Barack Obama, needing a strong performance in his next debate against Mitt Romney, is moving to reassure supporters that his campaign is on track while casting his opponent as aligned with the Republican Party’s most ideological wing…The fresh round of Democratic defense comes as Romney has gained ground in national polls while tempering his remarks and tone of his campaign to appeal to undecided voters.
Real Clear Politics: GOP Turnout Effort Tests Obama Campaign's Prowess
In half of the most critical swing states -- Colorado, Florida and North Carolina -- Republicans have requested more absentee ballots than have their counterparts. And in Nevada, the two sides are nearly even. Data is not available in every state, but the fact that Republicans are surpassing Democrats in half of the key states is significant largely because the president has such a robust and vaunted operation. Republican National Committee spokesman Tim Miller explained, “We’re outperforming the Democrats, we’re over-performing our expectations, and we’re over-performing registration in key counties.” He added that last week’s boffo debate performance by Mitt Romney contributed to a massive spike in the number of volunteers helping the campaign. And he pointed out that those new volunteers are calling friends and urging them to cast ballots early.
YouGov/Economist Poll, Economic Perceptions Still A Big Problem For Obama
Despite last Friday’s somewhat stronger-than-expected jobs report, perceptions of the economy continue to pose a major challenge for President Obama’s reelection campaign. There has been little change in whether people believe the economy is improving: in last week’s Economist/YouGov Poll, 29% thought it was; now 27% do… Just over 40% approve of how the President is handling the economy — not much changed from a week ago. As for his overall approval rating, it remains below 50%. This week, 45% approve, while 51% disapprove of how the President is handling his job.
USA Today, Obama's Lead Shrinks In Swing States
President Obama still leads Mitt Romney in states that will decide the election, but his advantage has shrunk since last week's debate. Obama is up in Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, but by smaller margins than in previous surveys. And Romney now has one-point leads -- well within the margin of error -- in separate polls taken in Virginia and Colorado.
Los Angeles Times, Polls Show Romney Closing Gap In Swing-State New Hampshire
Barack Obama carried this state by 10 percentage points in 2008, and polls this year have had him ahead of hometown candidate Mitt Romney, who has a house in Wolfeboro, by as much as 7 percentage points. But recent polls have showed the race tightening in the Granite State, perhaps because of voters such as Erin Pompeo, a stay-at-home mom from Stratham. Pompeo was pretty well settled on Obama until she saw the first presidential debate. Suddenly Romney, who Pompeo had thought was too “silver spoon,” looked appealing. Pompeo liked his tax plan, and thought Romney seemed more knowledgeable. “It made me more iffy on Obama,” said Pompeo, 38.
Republican challenger Mitt Romney has extended his lead over President Barack Obama to 3 percentage points, according to a Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll released on Thursday, ahead of a high-stakes debate between the two candidates' running mates. Romney now leads the Democrat by 47 percent to 44 percent among likely voters in the online poll, with less than a month before the November 6 election. The Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll released on Wednesday had shown Romney with a one-point lead over Obama, his first lead in the survey in more than a month. Romney has been enjoying one of his best runs of the campaign after handily winning the first presidential debate last week, partially due to Obama's passive performance in that contest.
Townhall, Poll: Romney 49 - Obama 44
The internals are interesting, too. Romney's crushing it with independents (+20) and winning handily among middle (+9) and working-class (+10) households. Obama's doing best among the rich (+11...surprise!) and the poor (+5). Another number to keep an eye on is Obama's shrinking advantage with younger voters. In this poll, he's down to 50 percent -- an anomaly? Not according to the new Fox News poll, which shows a six-point topline jump for Romney, who now holds a narrow lead
Rasmussen Reports, Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 47%
It’s still a one-point presidential race in Ohio, a critical battleground state where voters have already begun casting their ballots. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio voters shows President Obama with 48% support to Mitt Romney’s 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
United Press International, UPI Poll: Romney Takes Lead Over Obama
Republican challenger Mitt Romney picked up 3 percentage points to lead U.S. President Obama 49 percent to 46 percent, a new United Press International poll indicated.
Romney's lead, within the 4.5 percentage point margin of error, is was based on a national survey taken in the days following the first presidential candidates debate, results of the UPI-CVoter poll released Thursday indicated…While Romney's lead is 3 percentage points among likely voters, his net gain since the seven days immediately before the debate is 5 percentage points, UPI said. During a poll taken a Sept. 27-Oct 3, 48 percent of likely voters said they would vote for Obama and 46 percent said they would back Romney.
The latest survey of likely Colorado voters, released Thursday morning by CBS News, The New York Times and Quinnipiac University, shows a one-point edge for Republican Mitt Romney, who leads President Obama here by a margin of 48-47 percent. The survey of 1254 likely Colorado voters comes two days after an ARG survey showed Romney, on the upswing following his decisive debate win here last week, leading Obama in the state by a 50-46 margin. Another survey, conducted by the University of Denver following the debate on its campus, found Obama clinging to a 47-43 percent lead over Romney. Altogether, the recent polling has Romney now ahead of Obama in the RCP Colorado average — it’s a slim 0.6 percent lead — for the first time since the two candidates were tied in August prior to both conventions.
The New York Times, Voters Give Romney Better Grades for Leadership, Polls In 3 States Find
Mitt Romney is seen by more voters in three battleground states as a strong leader after his dominant debate performance last week, but perceptions that the economy is improving remain a buttress for President Obama as the 2012 campaign comes down to its final weeks… Mr. Romney’s backers now support him more fervently than before. He is running stronger in particular among those who say they are paying especially close attention to the race. He retains his dominance on the issue of handling the federal budget deficit and seems to have stabilized his showing on handling of the economy. About two-thirds of the voters in each state said Mr. Romney has strong leadership qualities, more than said the same of the president. “The debate made me feel better about” Mr. Romney, one poll respondent, Paula Gregory, 37…
The New York Times, Before A Big Crowd In Ohio, Romney Glides On Debate’s Lift
As he wrapped up a second day of all-in effort in this critical battleground state, Mr. Romney continued to rally large crowds, the biggest of his campaign, and to glide on the lift of his debate performance last week. Every reference to the debate drew cheers. The Romney campaign said the throng numbered 9,500, citing the Secret Service. “This is bigger than the fair was,” said Louie Pennycuff, 64. “After the debate, people woke up.” Earlier in the day when Mr. Romney visited a bakery restaurant, throngs lined the streets of Delaware, Ohio, for his motorcade as if for a Fourth of July parade.
On the heels of last week's presidential debate, Mitt Romney has emerged with a one-point edge over President Obama in Colorado and has cut the president's lead in half in Wisconsin, according to a new Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times poll. In Wisconsin, where Mr. Obama led Romney by six percent last month, the president now holds just a three-point advantage, with 50 percent to Romney's 47 percent support. Last month, the president led Romney 51 to 45 percent. In Colorado, the two remain locked in a dead heat, with Romney leading Mr. Obama 48 percent to 47 percent, within the poll's margin of error. Last month, also within that margin, Mr. Obama had the one-point edge, with 48 percent to Romney's 47 percent.
The Wall Street Journal, Race Tightens In Two States
The three polls, conducted Oct. 7-9, paint a fresh portrait of a tightly contested contest with less than a month until Election Day. They found support among likely voters for Mr. Romney has grown by two percentage points in Virginia, giving him a 48%-47% edge; a week earlier, in the previous poll, Mr. Obama was ahead, 48%-46%. In Florida, the race also remains a statistical tie, with Mr. Obama continuing to leading by one percentage point, 48%-47%. The polls for likely voters have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
Real Clear Politics, GOP Turnout Effort Tests Obama Campaign's Prowess
Republicans are narrowing Democrats' organizational advantage in critical swing states, but the latter say they are on track to improve upon President Obama's 2008 early-vote count. Now that the election has moved full-throttle into get-out-the-vote mode, both campaigns are tracking the daily tabulation of absentee ballots requested in key battlegrounds along with the number of early votes already cast. In half of the most critical swing states -- Colorado, Florida and North Carolina -- Republicans have requested more absentee ballots than have their counterparts. And in Nevada, the two sides are nearly even. Data is not available in every state, but the fact that Republicans are surpassing Democrats in half of the key states is significant largely because the president has such a robust and vaunted operation.
Business Insider, Mitt Romney Has Erased Obama's Lead In Every Key Swing State
Just one week after his disastrous performance in the first presidential debate, President Barack Obama has lost his advantage across the electoral map, according to a new crop of swing state polls released Thursday morning. First, a round of new round of NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls show Romney making gains in Virginia, Florida, and Ohio — the three largest battlegrounds in play this cycle. In Virginia, the Republican presidential candidate now edged out his opponent, 48 percent to 47 percent, reversing Obama's advantage in last week's poll. He also gained seven points among independent voters in the state, and now leads Obama 50 percent to 42 percent with that group. Another NBC/WSJ/Marist poll shows Romney gaining two points in Ohio, narrowing Obama's lead to a 51-45 margin in the key battleground state where Romney has spent several days campaigning this week. When Ohio's early voters are taken out of the poll, Obama's lead shrinks to just two points, 48 percent to 46 percent. More significantly, the poll shows Romney advancing 12 points among independent voters to lead Obama 49 percent to 41 percent. And in Florida, the NBC/WSJ survey shows the race remains virtually tied, with Obama maintaining a one point lead over Romney.
Mitt Romney has seen improvement across a wide swath of leadership metrics — and pulled to a narrow lead in the swing state of Colorado… Romney now outperforms President Obama on the question of whether the candidates have strong leadership qualities, and voters are far more likely to say today that he has the ability to be an effective commander-in-chief than they were just a few weeks ago. Two-thirds of voters in each state say Romney has “strong leadership qualities, at 67 to 29 percent in Colorado, 64 to 30 in Virginia and 65 to 31 in Wisconsin…Romney has also seen his numbers improve when voters are asked if he "cares about the needs and problems of people like you"…
A wave of swing-state polling released this morning shows Mitt Romney closing on President Barack Obama, even as the Democratic incumbent continues to hold a lead in the critical battleground of Ohio. The cumulative picture that emerges from the latest polls is of a presidential race that has tightened across the electoral map, but in which Obama continues to hold an edge over Romney. The Republican presidential nominee has certainly improved his standing thanks to his strong debut debate; the challenge is sustaining that improvement over the remaining 26 days of the race. Wall Street Journal/NBC/Marist College polling found Obama and Romney within 1 point of each other in both Florida and Virginia, while Obama maintained a 6-point advantage in Ohio. In all three states, Romney’s poll standing ticked up in the aftermath of his successful first debate, though Obama did not lose any support from his side. Surveys taken for the New York Times, CBS News and Quinnipiac University, meanwhile, found Romney gaining 3 points on Obama in Wisconsin and cutting the president’s advantage there to 3 points. Romney was up by 1 point in Colorado, where Obama led by 1 point a month ago.